Goodbye 2011

To a year that was good beyond imagination, I say thank you. 2011 was not any normal year that passes by, it’s a year when history was re-written. A year that for anyone who lived the events and changes it brought to us will never forget, I never thought or imagined I would witness revolutions sweeping the Middle East not even in my wildest dreams, apparently 2011 stated it was time for the change everyone was waiting for so long.
On a personal level 2011 had its ups and downs, it’s the year that changed my life, I started my blog, and found myself in writing, it’s the year I became active on twitter, it’s the year I met many people who inspired me, changed me, I had hope restored to me.

Thank you 2011 for being that great year we all were waiting for, but more importantly I want to thank the people who took their destinies in their hands, demanding their stolen rights, demanding the better living they deserve, thank you Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Syria, and Bahrain for showing us what the simple citizen can do. Thank you you brave humans who refused to keep living in the shadows of life, thank you for bringing back to me the hope that I had lost. Thank you for proving the world wrong, that we are not a dead nation, that we are alive just like anyone else, that we are free, thank you from the future generations who will look back and realize that the freedom, democracy, and decent living they have, were nothing but the result of the sacrifices made during this year.

In 2011 the first refugee came back to Palestine though for a short period of time, but it proved that the right of return is nonnegotiable, and is not some fairy-tale, it proved to the world that 63 years later and we haven’t forgotten, it proved that Ben-Gurion who said that in two generations we will forget was wrong, it proved that the right of return will seize to being a dream and become a reality.

I hope that 2012 goes on the same tracks like its predecessor 2011, and becomes the year of Democracy for the countries that revolted, and to help the Syrians win their country back and remove the dictatorship that was established on their bodies.

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The Arab dictators guide to suppressing the revolution

All those who are tracking the Arab spring will notice the pattern used by the regimes to attempt to suppress the masses. Apparently those Arab Leagues summits weren’t as crappy as we thought, the same pattern was and is being used over and over again except in the case of Libya which is an attempt to suppress the Libyan population but also an experiment for the rest of Gaddafi’s colleagues, and if Gaddafi wins and manages to suppress the revolution then many of the Arab leaders will follow in his footsteps.

Week One:

When the protests kick off, introduce the police and security forces and order them to fire tear gas, rubber bullets, water cannons can be effective for a while, and occasional live ammunition could be fruitful (If you are Gaddafi all of the above doesn’t apply to you, for humane reasons you skip all of the above to use Anti-Aircraft and live ammunition because using tear gas is a crime). On the political level send out a low profile politician to explain that the protests in your country are not important and won’t lead to the regime being overthrown because your country is not ( and here you mention countries where the revolution was successful). If the number of casualties is great then blame that on non-existent thugs who show up from nowhere with the sole purpose of killing the protesters (If you are Gaddafi then blame it on the protesters and claim they are under hallucination pills provided to them by Al-Qaeda), if the protesters manage to take over police stations and occupy important facilities then it’s advised that you remove all policemen and state security personnel from the streets, while releasing all the criminals from prisons, remember political prisons must be kept in.

Week Two:

In case the protests don’t end and this is the most likely scenario then it’s time to address the nation (If you are Gaddafi you can send your son to replace you), in your speech try to explain what happened in week one, explain that you ordered the security forces to make sure the protesters are safe, and announce that you want a new government formed as a solution to the protesters demands. Try to warn the protesters that if you’re gone Islamists can take over and make their life even worse. Meanwhile send snipers to building tops and order them to fire at will. Cutting the means of communication can be helpful and make sure foreign press are far from the main protests, if Al-Jazeera is focusing a lot on your country you earn the right to blame them for what is happening and that they have a hidden agenda.

Week Three:

At this stage if protests are not over then you have a problem, and you can resort to plan B which consists of bringing all the police officers you took from the streets and sending them to protests supporting you and your regime, you are allowed at this point to hire thugs as well, if you manage to bring a couple of thousands then you can try sending them to attack the protesters (using camels and horses maybe helpful). Another speech maybe good at this point trying to blame all of the events occurring in your country are done by outside forces (blaming it on Israel, USA, or Iran maybe good). If you are Gaddafi all of the above doesn’t apply to you, you may continue shooting and killing your own people and telling them you’re no president to resign.

Week Four:

If all of the above measurements fail, then it’s time for your last speech praising yourself, mention your history of serving your country and emphasis that you only wanted to serve your country the best you could, while the speech is being prepared pack your suitcases withdraw all your fortune from the banks, and pick a place to run away to, after you’re gone rumors that your health is bad and that you’re sick may drive the people to sympathize with you.

REMEMBER:

The state television must and at all times show pictures that shows that the country is fine and nothing wrong is going on, that the protesters got paid to protest and had KFC meals, and keep emphasizing that they have hidden agendas.

Even if you do everything mentioned you will still fail, because the will of the people is much stronger than you and they will eventually remove you whether you like it or not.

If you are Gaddafi and you’re reading this, any of the above doesn’t apply to you.

The Arab Spring

The Arab Spring

What Lies Ahead

“What we’re seeing here, in a sense, is the growing — the birth pangs of a new   Middle East and whatever we do we have to be certain that we’re pushing forward to the new Middle East not going back to the old one.” Condoleezza Rice in a Press Conference on July 21, 2006.

It looks like madam Secretary was right, we are indeed seeing the birth of a new Middle East only not in the form Rice imagined it would be. The Arabic nations are revolting  and the wave is spreading, those who are not revolting are demanding free speech, democracy, and better living standards. For the first time in many years people are starting to criticize their governments in a loud voice with no fear what so over from being captured or taken away after midnight.

Are we going to see a better Middle East? Are we going to see respect for human rights? Are we going to see the Middle East flourish like it was centuries ago?  We are now on a crossing, and two main scenarios rise in the air:

The first that indeed we will see a revolution by all means of the word, mental revolution that changes what’s inside the people (their thinking, their actions, and their behavior), a revolution in literature, a revolution  in the daily life of the people where people will get along and the religious tensions that were created by the regimes will dissolve, which will lead the Middle East to be similar to Latin America, with a Social-Democracy taking place, free elections and the freedom to establish political parties, providing good health care for everyone, a good educational system, and we may get to see the Middle East turn into an industrial nation, instead of living solely on the money that comes from the oil revenues, and most importantly we will see true peace occurring between the Arabs and Israel because that peace will be between the nations and not just a signed piece of paper between two leaders.

The other scenario which is the dark one although the chances of  it happening are not that high but it’s on the table, radical Islam rises to power, and tries to turn the Middle East into Islamic states like Iran, where no human rights exist, one has limited free speech but no one will care what he says, religious laws being passed every now and then slowly taking ones freedom of choice, people will be much worse than they were. Why is this scenario only has a slight chance of happening? Well it’s due to the fact that anyone who will be elected will know that if he tries to do any tricks, or shows the slightest amount of dictatorship will go away. This revolution is also a lesson to the future generations, they will know why people revolted and how were they treated.

Middle east revolutions 2011

The current hot spots in the Middle East