What Lies Ahead


“What we’re seeing here, in a sense, is the growing — the birth pangs of a new   Middle East and whatever we do we have to be certain that we’re pushing forward to the new Middle East not going back to the old one.” Condoleezza Rice in a Press Conference on July 21, 2006.

It looks like madam Secretary was right, we are indeed seeing the birth of a new Middle East only not in the form Rice imagined it would be. The Arabic nations are revolting  and the wave is spreading, those who are not revolting are demanding free speech, democracy, and better living standards. For the first time in many years people are starting to criticize their governments in a loud voice with no fear what so over from being captured or taken away after midnight.

Are we going to see a better Middle East? Are we going to see respect for human rights? Are we going to see the Middle East flourish like it was centuries ago?  We are now on a crossing, and two main scenarios rise in the air:

The first that indeed we will see a revolution by all means of the word, mental revolution that changes what’s inside the people (their thinking, their actions, and their behavior), a revolution in literature, a revolution  in the daily life of the people where people will get along and the religious tensions that were created by the regimes will dissolve, which will lead the Middle East to be similar to Latin America, with a Social-Democracy taking place, free elections and the freedom to establish political parties, providing good health care for everyone, a good educational system, and we may get to see the Middle East turn into an industrial nation, instead of living solely on the money that comes from the oil revenues, and most importantly we will see true peace occurring between the Arabs and Israel because that peace will be between the nations and not just a signed piece of paper between two leaders.

The other scenario which is the dark one although the chances of  it happening are not that high but it’s on the table, radical Islam rises to power, and tries to turn the Middle East into Islamic states like Iran, where no human rights exist, one has limited free speech but no one will care what he says, religious laws being passed every now and then slowly taking ones freedom of choice, people will be much worse than they were. Why is this scenario only has a slight chance of happening? Well it’s due to the fact that anyone who will be elected will know that if he tries to do any tricks, or shows the slightest amount of dictatorship will go away. This revolution is also a lesson to the future generations, they will know why people revolted and how were they treated.

Middle east revolutions 2011

The current hot spots in the Middle East


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2 comments on “What Lies Ahead

  1. ras says:

    good article.still early days in these revolutions.
    first thing is renewing revolution/uprising mass movements in Palestine.

    • mepanalysis says:

      True and this is when things are decided and the future is planned. As for Palestine, the non-violent movement is achieving much more than an armed struggle.

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